Current mortgage rates are up and higher than they were seven days ago. Rates are lower than they were in early 2025, when the average 30-year fixed-rate mortgage reached above 7%. Even though Federal Reserve policy doesn’t directly impact today’s mortgage rates, they have been easing since the Fed began cutting rates in late 2024.

The numbers for June came in pretty much as economists had predicted — a moderate increase from last month. The rate of inflation rose 0.3% from May to June, and was up 2.7% compared to June 2024. In other words, if it feels like everyday goods cost more, it's because many of them do.

The market currently projects an interest rate cut in the fall, though two Fed officials floated the possibility of a rate cut this month. Fed Chair Powell has reaffirmed a "wait and see" posture, with concerns over the inflationary impact of tariffs.