Despite the common reliance on numerical probability estimates in decision research and decision analysis, there is considerable interest in the use of verbal probability expressions to communicate ...

In school, we are trained to think that math problems always have one correct answer. But this is not necessarily true for problems dealing with probability, if the method used to reach the described ...

Weather forecasts available from the U.S. National Weather Service were examined to assess how often and in what manner expressions of numerical precipitation probability were used. Of the forecasts ...