Prediction markets like Kalshi beat pollsters in forecasting the 2024 US election. Mansour now says financial marketplaces ...

The popularity of prediction markets (for gambling on politics) is a new phenomenon in the United States, and who pays out ...

Matt Levine is a Bloomberg Opinion columnist. A former investment banker at Goldman Sachs, he was a mergers and acquisitions ...

In general, markets gave shorter odds to Donald Trump, who won comfortably, than would have been implied by the neck-and-neck ...

Election betting is now legal in the U.S. Do Kalshi betting odds predict a Harris or a Trump win? What to know as Ohioans ...

Prediction markets, which surged to prominence during the presidential campaign, started reflecting a likely Trump win ...

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Senate Republicans look poised to recapture control of the Senate for the first time since 2021, according to the ...

Polymarket and Kalshi are popular prediction markets for the 2024 election, but bettors should understand market rules before ...

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Prediction markets have been around for a long time. 16th century Italians placed bets on who the next Pope would be, and election betting in the U.S. goes (at least) as far back as the late 1800s.