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Trump, Prediction Markets
The 2024 Election’s Other Big Loser: Prediction Markets
Prediction markets, exchange-traded markets where participants can bet on the outcomes of future events, failed to provide reliable forecasting during the 2024 election.
Besides Trump, prediction markets might have been US election’s biggest winner
US voters Tuesday (5 November) decisively sent Donald Trump back to the White House for a second presidential term after four years away. But perhaps the next biggest winners from the election were prediction markets, the derivatives exchanges that allowed the country to stake legal wagers on the election for the first time.
Political Betting Markets See Vindication in Trump Victory
Prediction markets, which surged to prominence during the presidential campaign, started reflecting a likely Trump win several weeks ago, even as opinion polls showed a tight race.
20h
Kalshi CEO Tarek Mansour on Prediction Markets’ Big Night: ‘We Even Overtook Pornhub’
Prediction markets like Kalshi beat pollsters in forecasting the 2024 US election. Mansour now says financial marketplaces ...
Axios on MSN
1d
Presidential prediction markets: Here's when Kalshi and Polymarket will pay out
The popularity of prediction markets (for gambling on politics) is a new phenomenon in the United States, and who pays out ...
The Economist
7h
What betting markets got right and wrong about Trump’s victory
In general, markets gave shorter odds to Donald Trump, who won comfortably, than would have been implied by the neck-and-neck ...
1d
on MSN
Kalshi election betting odds: Do bettors pick Trump or Harris? What we know on Election Day
Election betting is now legal in the U.S. Do Kalshi betting odds predict a Harris or a Trump win? What to know as Ohioans ...
1d
on MSN
How Late Can You Bet On The US Election Through Polymarket, Kalshi? Everything You Need To Know (UPDATED)
Polymarket and Kalshi are popular prediction markets for the 2024 election, but bettors should understand market rules before ...
1d
on MSN
Bets on 'Trump 2.0' winners and losers whip up markets, fuel dollar surge
Donald Trump's rapid confirmation as the next U.S. president unleashed the biggest one-day rally in the dollar in eight years ...
1d
Thousands of election gamblers anticipate betting jackpot after Trump win
Thousands who gambled on the U.S. election are looking forward to a potential payout of about $450 million from online gambling sites after Donald Trump was elected president in a stunning comeback - ...
16h
Kalshi And Polymarket Shoot To The Top Of Apple's App Store Rankings Amid Election Euphoria
On the day of the U.S. presidential election, prediction platforms Kalshi and Polymarket reached unprecedented rankings on the Apple App Store.
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